The potential for Russian wheat exports in the 2025/26 season is also expected to rise to 44 million tons.
IKAR head Dmitry Rylko stated that the increase is mainly driven by higher-than-expected wheat yields in Siberia, the Urals, and the central and Volga regions.
The forecast for Russia's grain production in 2025 has also been raised from 132.8 million tons to 135 million tons, with the export potential increased from 55 million tons to 56.5 million tons.
The Russian Ministry of Agriculture currently predicts that the total grain production in 2025 will reach 135 million tons, with wheat accounting for 90 million tons. In comparison, the total grain production in Russia in 2024 was 125.9 million tons, with wheat production at 82.6 million tons (excluding data from new regions). These figures indicate that Russia's wheat production and export capacity are steadily increasing, and it is expected to continue playing a significant role in global grain trade.