Maharashtra, India's leading sugar-producing state, is projected to see a significant decrease in sugar output by nearly 16%, resulting in a production estimate of 10.7 to 10.8 million tonnes for the 2022/23 marketing year, marking a decrease from the initial forecast of 12.8 million tonnes. This reduction is primarily due to sugar mills closing early because of a limited sugar cane supply. Consequently, India may not authorize additional exports, potentially impacting global prices and permitting Brazil and Thailand to raise their export volumes. The decrease in production could also be influenced by the early closure of a significant number of sugar mills.