A severe heatwave in northern and central India is expected to damage crops and potentially repeat last year's reduction in wheat production, with inventories at a six-year low. The maximum temperature in wheat-growing areas has risen significantly above normal, leading to early maturity and potential shriveling of grains. This heatwave could drop production to around 100 million tonnes, half of the government's estimated 112.2 million tonnes, and significantly above trade body estimates. This could result in wheat prices being higher than the government's buying price, encouraging farmers to sell to private buyers, and necessitating imports if the situation worsens.