Industry forecast: Brazilian olive oil prices are expected to fall by more than 20% by 2025

Published Dec 30, 2024

Tridge summary

The price of olive oil in Brazil has been rising since 2023, peaking in June 2024 due to reduced olive production in Europe caused by drought. Brazil's domestic market relies heavily on imports from Portugal and Spain, which account for 44% and 14% of total imports, respectively. However, a forecast from the EU predicts a 29% increase in olive oil production in the 2024/25 harvest season, which is already reducing prices in Europe and is expected to do the same in Brazil. Brazilian importers are being advised to buy cheaper olive oils to prepare for the price drop, with predictions of a 20% or more decrease in prices by Easter 2024.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Brazilian website "spacemoney" reported on December 26 that the price of olive oil in Brazil began to rise in 2023 and reached its peak in June 2024 after a whole year. Due to the sharp rise in prices, some supermarkets in Brazil even installed anti-theft seals for such products. The price increase is because Europe has experienced severe drought in the past two years, which has led to a significant reduction in olive production, thereby reducing the raw materials for olive oil production. Brazil's local olive oil production is very small, so the domestic market mainly relies on European supply, most of which comes from Portugal and Spain. According to statistics, the imports from these two countries account for 44% and 14% of Brazil's total olive oil imports, respectively. Leonardo Scandola, head of Latin American business at Filippo Berri Scandola noted: "The good news is that olive oil production in the Mediterranean basin will increase this year." According to EU data, EU ...
Source: Foodmate

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