The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) anticipates a nearly 30% decrease in arabica coffee production in the 2021/22 harvest due to high temperatures and drought, with Brazil's coffee exports expected to drop by 26%. Global coffee stocks are estimated to be 10% lower by June 2022 than the previous year. In contrast, Guatemala and Honduras have increased coffee flows, along with India in Asian shipments. Ghana's cocoa production has decreased by 53.9% in the 2021/22 season. High ethanol prices in Brazil may lead cane mills to produce more ethanol and less sugar, potentially leading to a drop in Chinese sugar imports due to falling Chinese sugar prices and high ocean freight rates. Concerns about demand in the rubber market have been raised due to the new Covid-19 variant and a slowdown in auto production.