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Kazakhstan: What’s going on in the 2022/23 season and harvest forecast for 2023

Kazakhstan
Published Apr 5, 2023

Tridge summary

Total grain production in Kazakhstan is 22 M mt (+34% up compared to 2021), including: wheat: 16.4 M mt (+39% y/y), barley: 3.3 M mt (+38%). In September-February of 2022/23, wheat exports exceeded 4 M mt (+19% yoy), this is the record since 2011/12 MY. Key export destinations did not changed: Uzbekistan: +31%, Tajikistan: +28%, […]

Original content

Total grain production in Kazakhstan is 22 M mt (+34% up compared to 2021), including: In September-February of 2022/23, wheat exports exceeded 4 M mt (+19% yoy), this is the record since 2011/12 MY. Key export destinations did not changed: Shipments to China increased significantly (to 24.5 K mt, 100% more than in the 2021/22 season). The Minister of Trade and Integration Kazakhstan announced plans to increase wheat exports to China to 1 M mt per year. Barley exports in September 2022-February 2023 amounted to 644 K mt (about 185 K mt). All importing countries increased demand for the barley: The significant shipments increase has given us reason to revise upward previous estimate of barley exports from Kazakhstan by 50 K mt to 850 K mt (2022/23). Flour production increased to 2.25 M mt (+5% y-o-y) with wheat flour exports in September 2022-February 2023 amounted to 1.14 M mt (+32% from 2021/22 MY), mainly due to growing demand from Afghanistan (up 44%). The weather in winter ...
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