Canada: More sows, fewer cows predicted for next year

Published 2021년 9월 30일

Tridge summary

The U.S. Department of Agriculture's report forecasts a contraction in the Canadian cattle and hog herds in 2022 due to the impact of the 2021 drought and reduced carcass weights. However, improved reproduction rates and feedlot expansion are expected to mitigate the decline in cattle numbers, supporting imports of U.S. feeder cattle. Canadian beef demand is predicted to drop, which will reduce imports, while strong local demand for protein will support exports. The Canadian swine herd inventories are also expected to contract in 2022, but overall inventory will grow due to increased sow numbers and finishing space. Live exports are projected to decline in 2022, despite the U.S. remaining a significant market for Canadian livestock.

Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

A report issued in September by the U.S. Department of Agriculture forecasts the Canadian cattle and hog herds to contract as 2022 begins. The report from the Foreign Agricultural Service says the 2021 drought means a smaller calf crop next year as more heifers and cows go to slaughter. However, it also notes that improved reproduction rates will mitigate that somewhat. “Feedlot expansion in western Canada, coupled with a reduced calf crop, will continue to support imports of U.S. feeder cattle,” the document says. “However, a contracting U.S. cattle herd will see live imports remain stable on 2021 numbers.” Production in 2022 is expected to decline by one percent partly on lower carcass weights. Exports will be supported by strong local demand for protein. The report also said an expected drop in Canadian beef demand will reduce imports over 2021. The report estimates the total herd, including dairy and imports, at 15.9 million head in 2021, dropping to 15.7 million head. On the ...

Source: The Western Producer