Possible impacts of rain at the beginning of the 2026 harvest

The National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) released a climate forecast that points to possible impacts of rainfall at the beginning of the 2026 crop season, especially during the first quarter of January, February, and March. According to the analysis, the summer of 2026 is expected to occur predominantly under conditions of neutrality of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), with a low probability of the La Niña phenomenon occurring. According to INMET, the neutrality of ENSO tends to amplify the influence of regional atmospheric systems and patterns of lower-scale variability, such as the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ), tropical convective systems, and the circulation associated with the Tropical Atlantic. The institute highlights that this scenario favors a heterogeneous spatial distribution of climate impacts in the country, which requires continuous monitoring of observed conditions and frequent updates of forecasts, especially in the main producing regions. For ...