Rising Indian Milk Prices Shift Trade Dynamics in Favor of Nepal

Published Feb 2, 2026

Tridge summary

A significant increase in Indian milk prices has altered cross-border trade, benefiting Nepali dairy farmers by reducing illegal imports. With Indian milk becoming less economically attractive, Nepal's domestic market sees improved stability.

Original content

The recent increase in milk prices in India has led to a notable shift in the cross-border trade dynamics between India and Nepal. For years, Nepali dairy farmers faced competition fr om cheaper Indian milk that was often smuggled across the border, undercutting local prices and leading to an oversupply in Nepal's domestic market. However, with Indian milk now priced only marginally higher by about 46 paisa per litre, and additional transport and logistical costs, informal imports have become less viable. This development has significantly benefited the Nepali dairy sector. In key dairy-producing regions like Chitwan, cooperatives report that nearly all locally produced milk is now being absorbed by the market, a stark contrast to previous years when surplus often led to 'milk holidays' wh ere milk collection was temporarily suspended. Milk processing units, which previously dealt with inventory backlogs, now experience more balanced operations. For Nepali farmers, this change ...

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