Second Brazilian forecast: Orange estimate for this season remains stable

Published Dec 16, 2022

Tridge summary

The 2022-23 orange harvest forecast for the São Paulo citrus belt and the west-southwest of Minas Gerais remains unchanged at 314.11 million boxes, with a slight increase of 0.01%, according to the second update. However, harvest loss due to below-average rainfall is maintained at 0.9%. The average rainfall from May to November was 31% below normal due to the La Niña phenomenon. The harvest is running behind schedule due to the high concentration of second-bloom fruit, with the harvest of early varieties already completed.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The second update of the 2022-23 orange harvest forecast for the São Paulo citrus belt and the west-southwest of Minas Gerais, published on December 12 by Fundecitrus and its collaborators, is 314.11 million boxes of 40 .8 kilograms each. This update indicates that the harvest remains as expected in relation to the forecast projected in September, with an increase of just 20,000 boxes, which corresponds to 0.01%. The harvest loss presented in the previous update of 0.9% in relation to the initial expectation is maintained, due to the volume of rains below the historical average. According to data from Somar/Climatempo, the average rainfall in the citrus belt accumulated from May to November 2022 was 31% below normal. This is mainly associated with the influence of the La Niña phenomenon, which has remained moderately intense since May. In addition to the lower volumes, the rains fell in isolated points and were uneven even among neighboring municipalities. The effects of reduced ...

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