News

Second Brazilian forecast: Orange estimate for this season remains stable

Fresh Orange
Brazil
Published Dec 16, 2022

Tridge summary

The second update of the 2022-23 orange harvest forecast for the São Paulo citrus belt and the west-southwest of Minas Gerais, published on December 12 by Fundecitrus and its collaborators, is 314.11 million boxes of 40 .8 kilograms each. This update indicates that the harvest remains as expected in relation to the forecast projected in September, with an increase of just 20,000 boxes, which corresponds to 0.01%.

Original content

The harvest loss presented in the previous update of 0.9% in relation to the initial expectation is maintained, due to the volume of rains below the historical average. According to data from Somar/Climatempo, the average rainfall in the citrus belt accumulated from May to November 2022 was 31% below normal. This is mainly associated with the influence of the La Niña phenomenon, which has remained moderately intense since May. In addition to the lower volumes, the rains fell in isolated points and were uneven even among neighboring municipalities. The effects of reduced rainfall were mitigated by the better distribution of rainfall during the seven months after the harvest and the lower temperatures in November. From the current month to the end of the growing season, the rains tend to be more intense, which contributes to the growth of the oranges. On the other hand, during the summer, the rains usually appear in the form of storms that accentuate the early fall of the fruits. ...
By clicking “Accept Cookies,” I agree to provide cookies for statistical and personalized preference purposes. To learn more about our cookies, please read our Privacy Policy.