Soybean market remains uncertain, consultancy points out

Published 2025년 11월 24일

Tridge summary

The soybean market is going through a period of strong uncertainty, amid divergent signals that make it difficult to form a trend for prices. According to TF Agroeconômica, the current behavior oscillates between possible downward movements, if China does not meet the predicted quota of purchases, and upward movements, if the volume is fully acquired by the Chinese. Given this scenario, the recommendation is to evaluate the available profit, which remains positive in all producing regions monitored by the consultancy.

Original content

Profitability is close to 12% in Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina, Mato Grosso do Sul, and Goiás, 8.29% in Paraná, Bahia, and Mato Grosso, and 3.78% in Minas Gerais. Although limited, the margin is still considered relevant, especially because the result is approaching the cost of production. The consultancy highlights that producers who locked in future prices in October 2024 managed to achieve more than 44% profit, reinforcing the importance of the fixing mechanism in the physical market. Among the factors supporting prices are the increase of almost 1 dollar per bushel since mid-October, the new sales confirmed for China, the update of shipments by the USDA within market projections, and the adjustment by the International Grains Council, which reduced the global production estimate and increased the consumption estimate. In Brazil, the firm demand for meal, oil, and exports maintains gradual advances in ports ...
Source: Agrolink

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