In 2023, the global rice market is expected to experience its largest shortage in two decades, according to Fitch Solutions, with an estimated shortage of 8.7 million tons. This shortage is attributed to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, extreme weather conditions in China and Pakistan, and a surge in demand due to high prices of other grains. As a result, rice prices have reached their highest level in a decade and are expected to stay high until 2024. However, Fitch Solutions predicts that the market will return to near equilibrium by 2023-2024, with rice prices potentially dropping by nearly 10% to $15.5/cwt by 2024. The rebound in global rice production is expected to happen in 2023-2024, with India being the main driver, although weather conditions remain a concern.