By 2026, RaboResearch forecasts a further decline in agricultural profitability due to low prices for agricultural products and rising costs of fertilizers, which already increased by 15% in 2025.
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According to the RaboResearch forecast, the profitability of arable land cultivation in the European Union in 2025 will remain at the average level of the last five years, but a decline is expected as early as 2026. This is reported by Rabobank. This year, the growth in crop yields partially compensated for the fall in agricultural product prices, but the recovery was minor. Last year, RaboResearch already predicted a decline in profitability, and now the situation has only worsened. Thanks to favorable weather conditions in 2025, in most EU countries, the yield of key winter crops, including wheat and rapeseed, increased. This allowed France, Spain, and Romania to increase the profitability of grain cultivation. For example, the wheat harvest in France, according to RaboResearch estimates, reached 7.4 million tons, which is 6.1% more than last year and exceeds the long-term average of 6.9 million tons. In the Netherlands, the yield also increased, especially for sugar beets. ...