Turkey Braces for Sharp Drop in Olive Oil Output as Weather and Costs Take Toll

Published Dec 1, 2025

Tridge summary

Producers across Turkey report one of the most challenging seasons in years, with poor fruit set and severe drought expected to push olive oil output sharply lower.

Original content

Turkey is facing a significant decrease in olive oil production due to the natural biennial cycle of olive trees and harsh weather conditions during flowering. Estimates suggest that the country will produce 310,000 tons of olive oil in the 2025/2026 season, with concerns about rising costs and financial pressures affecting the sector. Additionally, producers across Turkey are reporting low yields, with weather conditions and the unfavorable exchange rate contributing to the challenges faced by the industry. Turkey faces a sharply reduced olive oil campaign, with production expected to fall well below last year’s record 475,000 tons. Growers and officials attribute the decline to the trees’ natural biennial cycle and unusually harsh weather during flowering, which damaged fruit set across major producing regions. “The 2025/26 National Olive and Olive Oil Harvest Forecast and Assessment Committee has determined that Turkey will produce 310,000 tons of olive oil and 740,000 tons of ...

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