Turkey's 2025 grain harvest threatened by drought

Published Feb 19, 2025

Tridge summary

Turkey's 2025 grain harvest is facing a significant threat due to a severe drought over the past four months, as highlighted by Grain Central. This drought marks a continuation of the drier conditions that led to a weaker harvest in 2024. The Turkish Meteorological Service reports a notable decrease in rainfall across the country compared to previous years, most notably in the Southeastern Anatolia region, which is crucial for winter crop production. This drought has resulted in significantly reduced average rainfall in key grain-producing regions like Central Anatolia and the Marmara, Aegean, and Mediterranean regions. Despite the anticipated decrease in wheat production for the 2024/25 marketing year, larger grain stocks are available to meet domestic consumption demands. However, the drought and a temporary import restriction under the IPR regime have negatively impacted flour exports, particularly in key African and Middle Eastern markets, including Iraq, leading to a loss in market share for Turkish exporters.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Turkey's 2025 grain harvest is at risk due to a lack of sufficient rainfall over the past four months. The analysis published in Grain Central indicates that our southern neighbor reaped a weaker harvest in 2024 as well due to drier than normal conditions. According to the Turkish Meteorological Service, rainfall in the country between October 2024 and January 2025 was 39.6% lower than the same period last year and 28.4% below the 1991-2020 average. The hardest hit was the Southeastern Anatolia region (Güneydoğu Anadolu), bordering Syria and Iraq, which is one of the main winter crop growing regions in the country. The data on the rainfall over the four months is indeed extremely unfavorable for local farmers - an average of 96 mm, compared to 326 mm in the same period of the previous season and 261 mm in the long-term average. The situation was most severe in January. January rainfall in the region was only 4.8 mm, or just 5.7% of the long-term average of 83.7 mm and 4.3% of ...
Source: Sinor

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