Uruguay: With the exchange rate delay “we made the export sector pay a heavy burden,” said Luis Romero Álvarez

게시됨 2025년 1월 2일

Tridge 요약

Uruguay's agricultural sector is facing challenges due to a significant exchange rate lag, estimated to be around 15%, caused by the country's fiscal deficit and a closed economy. This situation, which has been worsened by the government's attempt to align the Uruguayan peso with the Brazilian real, has placed a heavy burden on the export sector. Despite recent recovery, the dollar's strength against the Uruguayan peso was largely driven by international factors, allowing the Central Bank to raise interest rates to combat inflation. The future of markets for Uruguay's products is hard to predict due to global changes, including the new geopolitical alliance between China and Russia, which is likely to shift Chinese purchasing towards Russia and its allies, potentially reducing demand for products from countries like Uruguay.
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원본 콘텐츠

The director of the consulting firm Profesionales, Luis Romero Álvarez, referred to the country's economic situation and indicated that "there was a significant exchange rate lag during this entire period, recognized even by the Central Bank itself, which estimated it at 15%, which is a considerable sum for the agricultural sector, although I think it could be even higher." In an interview on Valor Agregado on Carve radio, Romero Álvarez explained that this exchange rate lag is a consequence of the fiscal deficit and that Uruguay maintains a very closed economy with the outside world. "This is not the fault of this government; it is something that has been going on for a long time. However, the current administration chose to pesify the economy, seeking to bring the Uruguayan peso closer to the value of the Brazilian real." "We have always been a bimonetary economy, and it worked well," he said. The specialist highlighted that, during this administration, “the dollar strengthened ...
출처: Agromeat

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