U.S. Pistachio Exports to China Plummet 46%, Re-exports via Vietnam Surge 40%

Published May 26, 2025

Tridge summary

Key Insight: According to the German media outlet Mundus Agri, despite the United States facing a bumper crop year for pistachios, data released by the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council (INC) at its early May conference indicates that global pistachio production in the 2025/26 season is still expected to be lower than the previous season. This season's US pistachio exports have been weak, with exports to China plummeting by 46%, but the agreement reached between China and the US in Geneva has added an unexpected variable to the market.

Original content

Bumper Crop Overshadowed by Uncertain Horizon Although the US pistachio crop for 2025/26 is expected to reach 726,400 tons (1.6 billion pounds), global production is predicted to decline by 3% from the 2024/25 season to 1,130,650 tons. The key issue lies in Turkey's sharp production drop—after reaching a historical high in 2024/25, the country is entering a cyclical low-yield year, compounded by frost impacts in some production areas. Turkey's pistachio production is expected to plummet 65.6%, from 415,500 tons in 2024/25 to 143,000 tons. The supply landscape presents a different picture. Global supply is anticipated to grow 10%, rising from 1,332,000 tons in 2024/25 to 1,462,000 tons in 2025/26. Turkey remains the primary driver, with end-of-season carryover stocks reaching an impressive 243,400 tons. Since 2011, Turkey has continuously expanded its pistachio cultivation, with rising production establishing it as a reliable supply country, while consumer awareness of Turkish ...

Source: Foodmate