W22 2025: Peanut Weekly Update

Published 2025년 6월 6일
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In W22 in the peanut landscape, some of the most relevant trends included:

  • Favorable early monsoon conditions in India, particularly in drought-prone Anantapur, have boosted peanut sowing and farmer optimism, supported by subsidized seeds and a national focus on seed production.
  • Paraguay's peanut sector is expanding rapidly, driven by the crop’s climate resilience and strong export performance. The Netherlands and Russia are key markets, while new efforts are targeting Asia and value-added processing.
  • US peanut consumption continues to grow, especially among millennials, reinforcing strong domestic demand driven by effective marketing over the past decade.
  • The US-Vietnam trade negotiations could impact bilateral peanut trade, with a proposed 46% tariff on Vietnamese exports under review until Jul-25.
  • Uzbekistan is strengthening its peanut export presence in Central Asia, with Kazakhstan as the top destination and broader regional outreach.

1. Weekly News

India

Early Monsoon Sparks Optimism for Peanut Farmers in India's Leading Producing Region

India's favorable early monsoon conditions have boosted optimism among peanut farmers in Rayalaseema, particularly in drought-prone Anantapur, India's top peanut-producing district. After years of erratic rainfall and crop failures, timely pre-monsoon showers and the early onset of the Southwest monsoon have encouraged early sowing across the region, which accounts for 72% of Andhra Pradesh's peanut cultivation. Government-subsidized seed distribution and renewed national focus on peanut seed production have further supported farmer confidence. Rayalaseema's high-oil-content peanut seeds remain in strong demand from states like Gujarat and Maharashtra.

Paraguay

Paraguay's Peanut Sector Sees Steady Growth and Expanding Export Horizons

Peanut production in Paraguay has expanded significantly in recent years, driven by the crop's resilience to adverse weather and its adaptability to various soils and rotations. As of W22, Paraguay exports approximately 12,000 metric tons (mt) of peanuts annually, generating around USD 18 million, with the Netherlands and Russia as leading buyers. Cultivation is concentrated in San Pedro, using direct sowing on crop stubble such as corn and wheat. Several Brazilian peanut varieties, including OL3 and Granoleico, are well-suited to local conditions.

Despite a slight dip in exports in 2024 compared to 2023, the long-term trend shows strong growth. Domestic consumption remains modest, around 2,000 mt annually, with most production destined for export. Paraguay is exploring new markets such as China, Taiwan, and Peru, while also expanding value-added processing, including blanched peanut production. Though its output remains small compared to regional producers like Argentina, Paraguay's peanut sector shows strong growth potential and increasing international engagement.

United States

Millennial Demand Drives US Peanut Consumption as Trade Talks with Vietnam Introduce Uncertainty

Peanut consumption continues to rise, particularly among millennials, following a decade of strategic marketing. According to the National Peanut Board's (NPB) recent Brand Tracking Study, 85% of adults in the United States (US) have consumed or purchased peanuts in the past month. Among millennials (ages 29 to 44), 48% now eat peanuts weekly and 65% consume peanut butter weekly, both figures marking notable increases since 2021. This surge in demand reinforces peanuts' position as a leading nut among the United States (US) consumers, suggesting sustained domestic market strength.

Meanwhile, ongoing US-Vietnam trade negotiations could affect peanut-related trade flows. Vietnam seeks to avoid a proposed 46% tariff, paused until Jul-25, amid concerns over its export-driven economic model. The outcome may have implications for peanut and related agricultural trade between the two countries.

Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan Exports Over 5,000 MT of Peanuts in Early 2025

Between Jan-25 and Apr-25, Uzbekistan exported 5.2 thousand mt of peanuts worth USD 4.9 million, according to the National Statistics Committee (UzStat). Kazakhstan was the largest importer, receiving 2.1 thousand mt. Other major destinations included Azerbaijan with 629 mt, Russia with 533 mt, Pakistan with 497 mt, and Turkmenistan with 417 mt. An additional 958 mt were exported to various other countries.

2. Weekly Pricing

Weekly Peanut Pricing Important Exporters (USD/kg)

* All pricing is wholesale * Varieties: Argentina (unshelled), India (with shell), the US, and Brazil (overall peanut average)

Yearly Change in Peanut Pricing Important Exporters (W22 2024 to W22 2025) 

* All pricing is wholesale * Varieties: Argentina (unshelled), India (with shell), the US, and Brazil (overall peanut average)
* Blank spaces on the graph signify data unavailability stemming from factors like supply unavailability, missing data, or seasonality

United States

US peanut prices fell to USD 0.55 per kilogram (kg) in W22, marking a decrease of 1.79% both week-on-week (WoW) and year-on-year (YoY) from USD 0.56/kg. Farmer stock prices declined slightly, while marketings dropped to 59.4 million pounds (lbs), a 38% WoW decrease, signaling reduced selling activity. Improved soil moisture from Apr-25 rains supported early planting in the Southwest, though excess moisture delayed some fieldwork and triggered early weed issues. If favorable conditions continue, yields may rise, pressuring prices further. However, input costs and disease risks could limit supply gains.

Brazil

In W22, Brazil's peanut prices declined by 7.48% WoW to USD 2.97/kg, despite marking a 19.28% increase YoY. This short-term price correction reflects recent market adjustments but may be temporary. Persistent rainfall in key producing regions is threatening the ongoing harvest, raising concerns about potential delays and quality deterioration. If adverse weather continues, reduced supply could reverse the current downward trend and drive prices higher in the coming weeks.

3. Actionable Recommendations

Strengthen Seed and Market Linkages in India's High-Potential Regions

Authorities and agribusinesses should expand support for high-oil-content peanut seed distribution in Rayalaseema, especially Anantapur, to capitalize on favorable monsoon conditions and strong interstate demand. Facilitating supply chain linkages with major buyers in Gujarat and Maharashtra will ensure sustained farmer incentives and improve income stability.

Diversify Export Strategies and Processing Capacity in Paraguay

Paraguayan exporters and processors should accelerate efforts to access emerging markets such as China, Taiwan, and Peru while expanding value-added processing capabilities (e.g., blanched peanuts). These steps will reduce dependence on traditional buyers and enhance long-term competitiveness despite modest domestic consumption.

Capitalize on US Demand by Targeting Millennial Consumers

Peanut industry stakeholders in exporting countries should develop marketing and product innovation strategies tailored to US millennial preferences, such as high-protein snacks and sustainably sourced peanut products. Leveraging this demographic’s growing consumption can unlock premium market opportunities and support export expansion.

Sources: Tridge, Uzbekistan Daily, AG Info, Deccan Chronicle

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