The international market is experiencing a new escalation of geopolitical tension and a direct impact on energy and agricultural inputs. Recent statements by Donald Trump have increased the risk of conflict with Iran. Oil reacted with a strong increase. The WTI barrel surpasses $110. Brent reaches $115. This movement pressures fertilizer costs and expands the risk of global shortages. The fertilizer sector faces a critical scenario. Russia and China signal restrictions or suspension of exports. Urea has already accumulated an appreciation close to 70%. Producers need to anticipate purchases to guarantee supply in the next crop. Product availability emerges as the main risk in the short term. In the agricultural market, Chicago shows slight support. Soybeans operate between 1150 and 1190 points. The May contract works above 1170. July surpasses 1180. The market awaits commercial definitions between the United States and China. An agreement can unlock volumes close to 20 million ...