Agronometrics in Charts: Record Mexican shipments drop US avocado prices to $1 per pound

Each week, the series ‘Agronometrics In Charts’ looks at a different horticultural commodity, focusing on a specific origin or topic, and visualizing trade market factors that are driving change. Check out our entire archive . The US avocado market continues to expand in 2026, supported by strong import volumes and modest domestic growth . According to the USDA’s Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook (March 2026) , California is expected to produce 330 million pounds of avocados in the 2025–26 marketing year , a one percent increase from the previous season. About 94 percent of this crop consists of Hass or Hass-like varieties, reinforcing their dominance in the US market. Despite this growth, the US avocado market remains heavily dependent on imports . In 2025, the United States imported a record 2.87 billion pounds of fresh avocados, marking a seven percent increase from 2024 and surpassing the previous record set in 2023. Mexico alone accounted for 83 percent of import volume and 88 ...