Canola and rapeseed prices fell 2.3% under pressure from forecast of increased harvest in Canada

Published 2025년 8월 29일

Tridge summary

Statistics Canada (StatCan) yesterday sharply increased its forecast for Canadian canola production in 2025, sending canola and rapeseed prices lower as analysts did not expect such a sharp increase in production estimates, especially amid shrinking acreage. November canola futures on the Winnipeg exchange fell 2.3% yesterday to CAD 636/t or $ 462/t, having already lost

Original content

10.4% for the month amid the imposition of tariffs by China and uncertainty about demand from the biofuel industry from the United States, as well as an increase in the harvest forecast in Canada. Following canola, November rapeseed futures in Paris also fell 2.3% yesterday to €465.5/t or $543/t (-4.5% month-on-month). In a report on August 28, StatCan experts updated their 2025/26 crop production forecasts based on the latest yield estimates using satellite imagery and agro-climatic data. They forecast that Canadian canola production will increase by 3.6% from last year to 19.9 million tonnes, driven by a 5.7% increase in yield to 41.0 bushels/acre, offsetting a 2.0% decrease in plantings to 21.4 million acres. Saskatchewan canola production in 2025 is expected to increase by 5.9% from last year to 11.1 million tonnes, driven by a 5.1% increase in yield to 40.3 bushels/acre, while the area planted will increase by 0.8% to 12.1 million acres. Alberta canola production is expected ...

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