Decline in oil prices stopped the growth of prices for vegetable oils, but sunseed in Ukraine continues to rise in price

Published 2024년 10월 15일

Tridge summary

The USDA has kept the global vegetable oil production forecast for MY 2024/25 at 227.12 mln tonnes, with a decrease in palm oil production offset by an increase in sunflower and rapeseed oil production. Palm oil stocks have been reduced by 1.5 mln tonnes for MY 2023/24, leading to a decrease in the global ending stocks estimate and supporting the price of palm oil in Malaysia. However, falling oil prices and a new stimulus plan from the Chinese government have impacted the market. Additionally, India and China have reduced oil imports, and prices for soybean oil and sunseed in Ukraine have increased.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

In the October report, USDA experts left the forecast of global vegetable oil production in MY 2024/25 at 227.12 mln tonnes (222.42 mln tonnes in MY 2023/24, 216.8 mln tonnes in MY 2022/23 and 208.62 mln tonnes in MY 2021/22), as the slight decrease in palm oil production is offset by the increase in sunflower and rapeseed oil production. However, as a result of the balance sheet adjustment for MY 2023/24, palm oil stocks were reduced by 1.5 mln tonnes, resulting in the reduction of the global ending stocks estimate from 30.36 mln tonnes to 28.8 mln tonnes (compared to 30.29 mln tonnes in the previous season). This significantly supported the price of palm oil in Malaysia, where on Friday on the data of the report, the December futures rose by 2.8% to 4350 ringgit/t or 1015 $/t, but yesterday amid falling oil prices fell by 0.9% to 4313 ringgit/t or 1006 $/t. December futures for Brent crude oil yesterday fell 2.6% to 77 $/barrel and continue to fall on negative statistics from ...

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