Financial adjustment marks the beginning of 2025 in agriculture

Published 2025년 12월 9일

Tridge summary

The agribusiness sector begins 2025 in an environment of tighter margins, elevated costs, and selective credit, a movement that has been altering the dynamics between producers and financiers. This scenario is reflected in the advancement of judicial recovery and the concentrated rise in rural delinquency, according to an analysis by Carlos Cogo of Cogo Inteligência em Agronegócio, based on the agro bulletin from Serasa Experian.

Original content

Until June, 415 judicial recovery requests were recorded, equivalent to 73% of the entire volume of 2024, a pace considered historic. The majority comes from Mato Grosso, Goiás, and Minas Gerais, states with large-scale production and high exposure to capital and climatic risk. The movement is led by tenants pressured by fixed costs and by large producers with a high level of leverage and long-term investments. Judicial recovery has been used as a tool for reorganizing liabilities in the face of a scenario of greater financial pressure. Delinquency is also growing, but selectively. The rate reached 8.1% of the rural population in the second quarter, an increase of 1.1 percentage points compared to the previous year. The highest rates appear among tenants, with 10.5%, and large producers, with 9.2%, while small and medium-sized producers remain below the average. For Cogo, the data indicate a cycle adjustment marked by higher interest rates, ...
Source: Agrolink

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