Мировое производство масличных культур в 2022/23 МГ может увеличиться более чем на 30 млн тонн

Published 2022년 7월 19일

Tridge summary

Oil World's July report forecasts a significant increase in global oilseed production for the 2022/23 marketing year, with an expected rise of 31.5 million tons per year to a total of 607.8 million tons, assuming favorable weather conditions in key producing countries and yield recovery in Canada, Brazil, Paraguay, and the USA. This increase is also driven by a expansion of sown areas to 298.8 million hectares, up by 3.2 million hectares. The soybean production forecast is adjusted to 383.3 million tons, a slight reduction from previous estimates, with the United States seeing a reduced forecast to 122.5 million tons. Brazil's soybean production is expected to rise to 144 million tons, while Argentina's production is predicted to increase to 45.5 million tons. The report also notes a slight reduction in the forecast for global ending stocks of soybeans to 96.4 million tons. Additionally, the forecasts for world sunflower and cotton production have been raised, while that for rapeseed has been slightly reduced.

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Original content

Analysts at Oil World (Germany) in their July report predict an increase in global oilseed production in 2022/23 MY by 31.5 million tons per year - up to 607.8 million tons, subject to favorable weather conditions in key producing countries and recovery of yields oilseeds, in particular, in Canada, Brazil, Paraguay and partly in the USA. In addition, the increase in the global oilseed crop will be stimulated by the expansion of sown areas by 3.2 million hectares - up to 298.8 million hectares. In particular, with regard to the forecast for the production of soybeans in the world in 2022/23 MY, the yield increase may amount to 30 million tons per year - up to 383.3 million tons, however, compared to June estimates, the forecast was slightly reduced (385.1 million tons). Downward adjustments were made at the expense of the United States, for which analysts lowered the oilseed crop forecast to 122.5 million tons against 125.7 million tons according to the previous forecast (120.7 ...

Source: Oilworld