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In W21 in the mango landscape, some of the most relevant trends included:

  • Bangladesh has started its early mango harvest in Rajshahi, focusing on the Guti variety. The total district yield is expected to reach 366 thousand mt by Jul-25.
  • Bangladesh is entering the Chinese mango market with its inaugural shipment of 50 mt. It aims to expand exports of premium varieties like Langra and Himsagar despite infrastructure challenges.
  • India has resumed mango exports to the US after resolving irradiation documentation issues, targeting to export 2 thousand mt of mangoes this season.
  • Pakistan aims to export 125 thousand mt of mangoes this season, targeting USD 100 million in revenue. This comes despite a predicted 20% YoY drop in production due to climate change and water scarcity.

1. Weekly News

Bangladesh

Early Mango Harvest Begins in Rajshahi, Bangladesh

Mango harvesting has officially started during W21 in Bangladesh’s Rajshahi district, led by the early Guti variety under the schedule set by local authorities. Other popular varieties like Gopalbhog, Khirsapat, Himsagar, and Amrapali are set to follow through June and July. The district anticipates a yield of 366 thousand metric tons (mt), valued between USD 28.6 billion and USD 32.7 billion. Neighboring Naogaon district has also begun limited harvesting, but overall market activity remains subdued, with smaller-scale sales and low foot traffic. The peak supply of major commercial varieties such as Amrapali, Nak Fazli, and Hadibhanga is projected from mid to late June, expected to boost trade in major hubs like Sapahar. Authorities enforce strict harvesting schedules and anti-adulteration measures to ensure quality and fair market practices throughout the season.

Bangladesh Launches First-Ever Mango Export to China

Bangladesh is making its debut in the Chinese mango market with a first-ever shipment of 50 mt expected for dispatch in W21, following approval from China’s customs authority last July. This is particularly significant for districts like Chapai Nawabganj, known as the country’s mango capital, as Bangladesh produces approximately 2.5 million mt of mangoes annually but exports only 1 thousand to 3 thousand. The Chinese market entry, supported by duty-free access under the Asia-Pacific Trade Agreement and complementary harvest timings, has sparked optimism among growers and stakeholders. Premium varieties like Langra and Himsagar are being prioritized for export, with hopes that overcoming challenges such as limited cold chain infrastructure and strict phytosanitary standards will open up broader export potential and improve rural incomes.

India

Indian Mango Exports to US Resume Following Resolution of Irradiation Issue

India has resumed its mango exports to the United States (US) after resolving a documentation lapse at the Maharashtra State Agricultural Marketing Board (MSAMB)'s irradiation facility in Mumbai. This lapse had previously led to the destruction of 25 mt of mangoes valued at USD 500 thousand. The issue involved missing dosimeter readings required under the India-US phytosanitary agreement, which temporarily halted shipments. The problem has since been rectified, with 185 mt already exported and operations back on track. India targets a seasonal export volume of 2 thousand mt to the US, its largest mango market, which saw a 130% year-on-year (YoY) rise in export value to USD 10 million in 2024. The incident highlights the importance of compliance in preserving market access, especially as India exported over 32 thousand mt of fresh mangoes globally in the 2023/24 season.

Surge in Mango Supply Lowers Prices and Shifts Consumer Demand in India

Favorable heat conditions have led to a surge in mango production across Maharashtra and neighboring Indian states, resulting in an abundant supply flooding markets like Pune’s Gultekdi Market Yard. This has sharply reduced mango prices and spurred strong consumer demand. The resulting price drop has boosted sales volumes and shifted consumer preferences, causing a dip in demand for other fruits such as pomegranates and musk melons, which have seen price declines of around 10%. Despite these shifts, the flow and pricing of most other fruits have remained relatively stable, illustrating the ripple effects of seasonal gluts on broader fruit market dynamics.

Pakistan

Pakistan Targets USD 100 Million from Mango Exports Despite Climate Challenges

Pakistan aims to export 125 thousand mt of mangoes this season, starting May 25, targeting USD 100 million in revenue. This represents an increase of 25 thousand mt over the previous year, despite forecasts of a 20% YoY decline in total production due to climate change and water scarcity. Punjab contributes 70% of the national output, followed by Sindh and Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa. The country is looking to diversify export destinations beyond its traditional markets. Pakistan is working to strengthen access to high-value markets such as Japan, the US, South Korea, Australia, Turkey, and China, with South Africa expected to follow. To sustain long-term growth, stakeholders stress the urgent need for water-efficient practices, climate-resilient varieties, and modernization of the agricultural industry.

2. Weekly Pricing

Weekly Mango Pricing Important Exporters (USD/kg)

* All pricing is wholesale * Varieties: Mexico (Manila), Peru (Kent), Brazil (Tommy Atkins), and India (overall average)

Yearly Change in Mango Pricing Important Exporters (W21 2024 to W21 2025) 

* All pricing is wholesale * Varieties: Mexico (Manila), Peru (Kent), Brazil (Tommy Atkins), and India (overall average) * Blank spaces on the graph signify data unavailability stemming from factors like supply unavailability, missing data or seasonality

Mexico

In W21, Mexico's mango prices increased slightly by 0.99% week-on-week (WoW) to USD 1.02 per kilogram (kg), reflecting a 7.37% month-on-month (MoM) rise. This uptick is due to a delayed start of the 2025 mango season, caused by unusually cold weather and light rainfall in Feb-25, which postponed harvesting and limited early supply. However, YoY prices dropped by 29.66% due to a significant increase in production volumes. The 2025 season is projected to yield approximately 29.2 million boxes, surpassing previous years' outputs. This surge in supply has exerted downward pressure on prices. The effect has been intensified by increased competition from South American exporters such as Ecuador and Peru, both of which are recovering from previous weather-related disruptions.

Peru

Mango prices in Peru increased by 2.13% WoW to USD 0.48/kg in W21, with a 14.29% MoM rise, driven by a delayed start to the 2025 mango season. This was caused by unusually cold weather and low rainfall in February, which limited early harvesting and constrained supply. However, prices dropped by 67.57% YoY due to a sharp rebound in production, with export volumes reaching 289.4 thousand tons, a 267% increase over the previous campaign. The surge in supply and intensified competition from regional players like Mexico and Ecuador, both rebounding from earlier climate disruptions, have contributed to a more saturated market and exerted downward pressure on prices.

Brazil

Brazil's mango prices increased by 5.83% WoW to USD 1.27/kg in W21, primarily due to reduced supply from key producing regions like the São Francisco Valley, where adverse weather conditions led to lower yields. However, prices have dropped by 16.99% YoY, influenced by a significant increase in export volumes. Brazilian fruit exports surged by 26% in the first quarter of 2025 (Q1-25) compared to the same period in 2024, with mangoes being a major contributor. This heightened supply in both local and international markets has exerted downward pressure on prices despite recent weekly gains.

India

In India, mango prices increased by 3.45% WoW to USD 0.30/kg in W21, marking a 7.14% YoY rise. The price rise is due to reduced supply caused by unseasonal rains and pest infestations, which have adversely affected mango production in key regions. However, prices dropped by 6.25% MoM due to a significant increase in production volumes. Favorable weather conditions earlier in the season led to higher yields, resulting in an abundant supply that exerted downward pressure on prices. Additionally, increased exports to markets like the US have influenced local availability and pricing dynamics.

3. Actionable Recommendations

Optimize Mango Supply Chain to Manage Price Volatility

Mango producers in India should focus on improving post-harvest handling and expanding cold storage to better manage supply gluts and stabilize prices. They should invest in ripening chambers and cold storage near major markets like Maharashtra can extend shelf life and reduce oversupply during peak seasons. Additionally, coordinating staggered harvesting or exploring processing options like mango pulp and dried fruit production can help absorb excess supply and maintain steady income despite fluctuating market demand.

Strengthen Climate Resilience and Diversify Mango Production

Mango producers across key regions should invest in climate-resilient farming techniques and diversify production zones to reduce risks from unpredictable weather like La Niña. This includes adopting drought-tolerant rootstocks, improving irrigation systems, and exploring higher-altitude or microclimate areas less vulnerable to extreme conditions. For example, growers in Peru and India can use water-saving drip irrigation and shade nets to protect flowering and fruit set. Diversifying harvest timing through staggered planting can also help balance supply and protect income against weather-related shocks.

Sources: Tridge, Business Recorder, BSS News, Chinadaily, Freshfruitportal, Pukarnews, The Express Tribune

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