1. Weekly News

Global

ICO Relaunches Enhanced Coffee Sustainability Support Database

The International Coffee Organization (ICO) has relaunched the Coffee Sustainability Support Database (C2SD), a revamped digital platform designed to improve transparency and coordination of over 400 sustainability projects in coffee-producing countries. Featuring new dashboards and a user-friendly interface, the database facilitates collaboration, knowledge sharing, and strategic investment across the global coffee value chain. Supported by ICO members and the International Trade Centre, the platform helps identify funding gaps, overlaps, and synergies, enabling more effective sustainability efforts. The C2SD also plans to expand coverage to include development banks and investment funds, becoming a vital tool for aligning and scaling sustainability initiatives worldwide.

Indonesia

Indonesia Exports Blockchain-Verified Coffee from Social Forestry to Dubai

Indonesia exported 8 tons of coffee from West Sumatra's Social Forestry Business Group to Dubai, marking a milestone in sustainable agriculture. The shipment complies with European Union Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) standards through the use of blockchain-based traceability systems that track product origin and pricing. The initiative aims to enhance both forest sustainability and community welfare. To support this goal, authorities provided small grant assistance worth USD 177,000 and issued 17 legal documents for social forestry enterprises, while encouraging broader national participation in the program.

Kenya

Kenya Launches USD 193.7 Million Coffee Sector Revitalization Plan

Kenya is mobilizing USD 193.7 million in private investment to triple its coffee production, modernize infrastructure, and strengthen cooperatives as part of a new Coffee Investment Framework. The initiative aims to boost output from 51,000 to over 150,000 metric tons (mt) within three years by introducing climate-resilient varieties, digitizing advisory services, expanding local value addition, and enhancing market access, particularly in Gulf and Chinese markets. Complementary government funding, cooperative reforms, and large-scale seedling distribution are key to overcoming aging trees, low yields, and climate risks, supporting over 800,000 smallholder farmers nationwide.

Paraguay

Paraguay's Coffee Imports Surge Amid Global Price Pressures

Paraguay's coffee imports nearly doubled in value in the first four months of 2025, rising 98% year-on-year (YoY) to USD 3.687 billion. This surge reflects a 34% increase in average coffee prices driven by climate-induced supply disruptions, especially in Brazil, Colombia, and Vietnam. Rising demand, currency shifts—such as the Brazilian real's appreciation—and higher logistics and compliance costs have further tightened global supply and lifted prices. Traditionally reliant on Brazil, Paraguay is now exploring alternative suppliers like Colombia, Peru, and African countries, though concerns over logistics costs and flavor profile acceptance remain. With global output expected to decline, particularly in Brazil, coffee prices are forecast to stay above 400 cents per pound (lb) in 2025.

Uganda

Uganda Eyes Coffee as Catalyst for Economic Transformation

Uganda's coffee production rose from 7.8 million 60-kilogram (kg) bags in 2022/23 to 8.2 million bags in 2023/24, boosting export earnings from USD 845 million to USD 1.144 billion. To sustain this growth, the government plans to allocate UGX 30 billion to the National Coffee Research Institute (NaCORI) in FY2025/26 to develop high-yield, pest-resistant, and climate-adaptive coffee varieties, aiming for 20 million bags annually by 2030. While agriculture still employs most Ugandans, its share of gross domestic product (GDP) has declined, exposing a productivity gap. Coffee is seen as a transformative lever to reverse this trend, with projects like the Luweero Coffee Park, led by Nonda Commodities with Ingazi Group and government support, set to process over 35,000 mt annually and become a major hub for domestic value addition.

Vietnam

Vietnamese Coffee Exports Decline in May Amid Market Shifts

Vietnam’s coffee exports fell 10.97% in May-25 to USD 859.91 million, bringing year-to-date (YTD) exports to USD 4.70 billion. While Germany and Italy remain top buyers despite declines, exports to the United States (US) grew by 10.07%. Significant month-on-month (MoM) growth was seen in markets like Singapore (+161.63%), Thailand (+76.31%), Greece (+62.99%), and the United Kingdom (+42.63%), indicating emerging demand. However, sharp drops occurred in Russia (-51.78%), Canada (-63.42%), South Africa (-68.68%), Spain (-36.52%), Mexico (-31.47%), and Indonesia (-58.57%). New markets such as Ukraine and Hungary appeared, highlighting diversification amid overall export contraction.

2. Weekly Pricing

Weekly Coffee Pricing Important Exporters (USD/kg)

Yearly Change in Coffee Pricing Important  Exporters (W25 2024 to W25 2025) 

Brazil

In W25, Brazil’s coffee prices fell slightly by 1.77% week-on-week (WoW) to USD 12.22/kg due to the rapid progress of the harvest (35% complete by mid-June), which increased short-term supply and triggered profit-taking among traders amid stable weather and reduced frost risk. Also, it dropped a little to stabilize after last week showed the highest price in the past year. However, prices remain 4.09% higher MoM and 88.29% higher YoY, supported by lingering effects of previous El Niño-induced drought and heat that reduced yields and carryover stocks, combined with tight global inventories, strong international demand for Brazil’s premium-grade coffee, and a stronger Brazilian real that has discouraged farmer selling and limited export volumes.

Colombia

In W25, Colombia’s coffee prices rose by 4.55% WoW to USD 11.72/kg, the highest price in the past year, reflecting continued short-term supply tightness driven by earlier excessive rainfall that disrupted harvesting and logistics. The MoM increase of 18.15% and YoY surge of 56.68% also reflect compounded effects of constrained current availability, reduced export incentives due to the stronger Colombian peso, and cautious market sentiment amid broader economic uncertainty. Although production forecasts point to a moderate increase ahead, immediate shortages and limited export volumes continue to sustain upward price momentum.

Vietnam

In W25, Vietnam’s Robusta coffee prices fell to USD 4.12/kg, marking a 5.50% WoW, 12.15% MoM, and 12.90% YoY decline. This sustained downward trend is primarily driven by a surge in supply from an active harvest and robust export volumes, alongside projections of record-high Robusta output, the highest in four years, fueled by favorable weather and expanded cultivation. Additionally, Vietnam is facing growing competitiveness issues, as its Robusta prices remain less attractive compared to lower-cost regional suppliers. Elevated freight costs and the growth of domestic processing infrastructure, which is shifting some demand toward value-added products, are also contributing to weaker raw bean prices at the farmgate level.

3. Actionable Recommendations 

Leverage ICO’s C2SD Platform for Strategic Partnerships

Exporters, non-governmental organizations (NGOs), and investors should actively engage with the revamped C2SD to identify co-investment opportunities, align projects with existing initiatives, and address funding gaps. This can strengthen environmental, social, and governance (ESG) profiles, attract sustainability-focused financing, and support compliance with emerging regulatory demands like the EUDR.

Capitalize on Demand Shifts in Vietnam’s Export Markets

With Vietnamese exports rising sharply to Thailand, the UK, and Singapore, traders and processors should expand sales channels and marketing in these high-growth destinations. Simultaneously, they should assess quality differentiation and logistics to re-capture volumes lost in Russia, Canada, and South Africa by improving value-added offerings and optimizing trade routes.

Explore Alternative Origins Amid Global Supply Risks

With Paraguay and others facing costlier imports due to Brazil, Colombia, and Vietnam’s disrupted supply and high prices, traders should diversify sourcing to include emerging producers like Uganda, Peru, or African specialty origins. These alternatives may offer more price stability and long-term growth potential, especially with sustainability-linked supply chains.

Sources: Tridge, Antara, Food Business ME&A, Food Mate, G1, Money Control, Portal do Agronegocios, The Cooperator, The Shiv, Vina Net, VOH,