World: 2025 rapeseed futures prices are down compared to crops in 2024

Published 2024년 10월 31일

Tridge summary

Paris rapeseed futures for the 2024 crop have seen a price increase of £31.35/t from October to November, while the 2025 crop futures have only risen by £14.02/t, making the 2025 crop prices lower than the 2024 crop. This widening spread is due to higher production issues in the EU, strong demand, lower sunflower production, and reduced ending stock forecasts for the current marketing year. However, factors such as harvest pressure from the US and expectations of ample global soyabean supply have limited price increases in oilseeds, including rapeseed. Weather risks and the potential for low world rapeseed ending stocks in 2024/25 could support futures prices for the 2025 crop.

Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Sign up to receive the Weekly Market Report and Grain Market Daily from AHDB. From the start of the month to 30 October, Paris rapeseed futures Nov-24 (crop 2024) gained £31.35/t. But over the same period Aug-25 (crop 2025) rose only £14.02/t. As a result, by Wednesday 30 October, 2025 crop rapeseed prices were £23.56/t lower than the 2024 crop, compared to £6.23/t lower on 1 October. Why did the spread between Paris rapeseed futures for the 2025 crop vs 2024 crop widen during October? Information about lower production in EU, strong demand for rapeseed on the physical market, lower sunflower production, and reduced ending stock forecasts for the current marketing year supported prices for the 2024 rapeseed crop. Higher import shows the tightness in the EU market. In the season 2024/25 by 25 October, EU rapeseed imports totalled 1.75 Mt, against 1.67 Mt a year earlier. The main rapeseed exporters in current marketing year to EU are Ukraine 1.27 Mt and Australia 0.35 Mt. On the ...

Source: Ahdb