Mexico: Banxico is left with less room to lower the rate in March

Published Jan 25, 2024

Tridge summary

Mexico's service sector is experiencing rising inflation, with data for the first half of January showing a 4.9% annual increase. This is putting pressure on prices and challenging the Bank of Mexico's target of 3% inflation. Factors such as the price of certain foods, an increase in the minimum wage, and a tight labor market are contributing to this inflation. Despite this, the Bank of Mexico is expected to start cutting rates from March. Analysts predict that the general inflation indicator will end the year at 4.52%, higher than the consensus of 4%.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Inflation in the service sector is putting pressure on prices in Mexico. After the inflation data for the first half of January, which had a rebound and stood at 4.9% annually, analysts estimate that it is internal demand that will put in check the Bank of Mexico's task of bringing inflation to the target of 3%. The prices of foods such as tomatoes, green tomatoes and onions put pressure on the non-core indicator, that is, the component with which volatile prices are measured. "The problem is that the decline in inflation last year was due to the fall in non-core inflation and now it is likely that we will see core inflation have positive readings. It will add that inflation is above what we saw in recent months," said Alejandra Marcos, economist at Intercam. The expert highlighted that the risks for inflation in 2024 tend more upward than downward, which is why they estimate that the general indicator will end at 4.52% this year, a figure above the analyst consensus of 4%. ...
Source: Expansion

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