Drought and Russian export tax cloud Kazakh trade flows
Kazakhstan
Russia
Published Oct 27, 2021
Tridge summary
This season's winter crop harvest in Kazakhstan is all but complete, with a dry seedbed at planting followed by an abnormally warm and dry growing season and many dust storms culminating in lower-than-average yields but above-average grain quality in most regions.
Original content
As of October 22, Kazakhstan farmers had reportedly harvested 15.8 million hectares, or 99.7 per cent of the forecast harvested area. The Ministry of Agriculture stated that 16.1 million tonnes of grains and pulses had been reaped, with an average yield of 1.02 tonnes per hectare. In its October World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE), the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) pegged Kazakhstan wheat production for the 2021-22 season at 12 million tonnes. This was down from its September forecast of 12.5 million tonnes. But it is almost 16 per cent lower than the USDA's 2020-21 wheat production figure of 14.256 million tonnes. The harvested area is expected to end up at 12.7 million hectares, putting the average yield at about 0.94t/ha. The season started poorly, with an unusually low soil moisture profile forcing producers to plant deeper than usual in many regions. This resulted in late and irregular crop emergence in many fields. High temperatures and low rainfall ...
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