Milk production in the EU by 2032 will decrease by 1.1 percent annually

Published 2023년 1월 16일

Tridge summary

PKO BP analysts discuss the short-term impact of milk price increases on EU supply, attributed to uncertainty in agricultural policy and expectations of decreased milk production by 2032. Despite these factors, Poland's milk production continues to grow, albeit with risks such as reduced feed base and potential slowdown. The end of 2022 saw a drop in dairy product prices due to decreased demand. While the milk processing industry experienced profit growth in the third quarter of 2022, a decrease in dairy product prices in the fourth quarter could impact profitability. PKO BP forecasts that the average price of milk in 2023 could range from -1% to +10% year-over-year, with price increases expected in the first half and decreases in the second half.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

According to PKO BP analysts, the increase in milk prices is a factor that has a short-term impact on supply increases, despite the smaller number of dairy cows in the EU and the increase in production costs, which was recorded in the EU-27 in October 2022 (+1.6%). however, the medium-term development of the sector is limited by the uncertainty related to the planned changes in agricultural policy. EC forecasts indicate a decrease in EU milk production by 2032 on average by 1.1 percent per year. - Milk production in Poland continued to record strong increases compared to other EU countries. According to the Central Statistical Office, the domestic purchase of milk in the January-November 22 period increased by 2.2% on an annual basis. However, there is a risk that the pace of production growth will slow down in the coming months. In the December estimation of the harvest in Poland in 2022, the Central Statistical Office indicated a decrease in the production of corn for silage by ...
Source: Farmer.pl

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