Avian flu poses a significant threat to Brazilian flocks and production, with the disease already affecting nine countries in Central and South America, leading to the loss of 1.2 million birds. The concern is that the virus could affect Brazilian chicken exports, which hit a record of 4.8 million tons in 2022. The risk of the virus reaching commercial farms is, however, "fully controlled" due to the high bio-security standards of Brazilian poultry. In the worst-case scenario, an outbreak could lead to an annual direct loss of Reais 13.5 billion in agribusiness exports and other sectors.