The European Union is facing a deteriorating wheat trade balance, with a significant drop in production expected in France. Wheat exports from the EU have decreased by 8% to 18.6 million tons by February 2, 2024, while imports have risen by 3% to 5.7 million tons, largely from Ukraine. Contributing to this is a 7% contraction in France's wheat sowing area, with winter weather potentially causing an additional 11% loss. The EU's overall wheat area may decrease by 3% this year, potentially leading to lower yields.