The USDA has forecasted a 2% decrease in global rice production for 2022/2023, the first decline since 2015/2016, with increases in Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Thailand, and Uzbekistan offset by decreases in Argentina, Brazil, Cuba, the European Union, and Vietnam. The global rice consumption forecast has been revised upwards to 517.2 million tons, but still 2.7 million tons below the previous year's record. The USDA has also forecasted a 4% decrease in global rice trade in 2023, the first decrease since 2019.