KENYA – Kenyan avocado production has reached a record 694,000 metric tonnes in 2025, exceeding previous estimates of 585,000 metric tonness, driven by continued growth in harvested area and improved productivity. Despite this historic output, exports are expected to decrease to 121,000 metric tonnes due to disruptions in the Red Sea and export controls imposed by the Kenyan Agriculture and Food Authority. The production surge reflects better farming efficiency, orchard expansion, and favourable growing conditions. However, logistical disruptions have created a temporary bottleneck. Red Sea shipping routes, critical for Kenyan avocados destined for European and Middle Eastern markets, have forced vessels to take longer alternative routes, increasing transit times and freight costs. Simultaneously, AFA’s stricter quality enforcement, including packhouse inspections and crate requirements, has reduced the volume of fruit leaving the country. For regional investors, the most ...