Kenyan growers are enjoying unprecedented growth, even as the sector navigates a complex landscape of geopolitical and regulatory hurdles.
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According to a recent report by the US Department of Agriculture (USDA)’s Foreign Agricultural Service, Kenya is poised to achieve a historic milestone in its avocado output. The forecast sits at a staggering 694,000 metric tons for the 2025/26 season —the highest ever recorded for the country. But despite the record-breaking production on the horizon, the document also warns of the effects of the significant logistical disruptions in the Red Sea, which, compounded by stricter domestic export controls, may dampen Kenya's pace of international shipments. More land, better yields, and new byproducts The East African nation’s latest projection is a substantial upward revision from its previous estimate of 585,000 metric tons , reflecting the rapid pace at which the industry is scaling. Several factors have converged to drive this "green gold" rush, the USDA said. First, there has been a consistent expansion in the total area harvested , as thousands of hectares of trees planted over ...