In EU, lower cereal harvest in the next decade due to less planted area
Published Dec 13, 2022
Tridge summary
The EU's total cereal area is projected to decline marginally to 57.2 million hectares by 2032, slowing to 57.8 Mha in 2020-22, driven by a decline in barley and maize, and an increase in wheat. Barley and wheat yields are expected to stagnate, with the former declining slightly and the latter slightly increasing.
Original content
Meanwhile, maize yields may still increase due to yield improvements in the eastern EU countries. Consequently, a decrease of 1.1 Mt will be registered below the average cereal production of 2020-2022 (308 Mt), according to the report on medium-term forecasts of the agricultural markets of the European Commission. Domestic use is expected to decline, even with an increase in human consumption (+3.9% compared to 2020-2022), due to lower animal production and feed use (-6.1%). On the trade side, the EU will remain competitive, but will face strong competition from other key global players. It will continue to be a net exporter of wheat and barley and a net importer of maize and rice. The EU oilseed area is expected to fall by 9.7% to 11.0 million hectares in 2032, compared to current levels. It is expected that the areas dedicated to the production of rapeseed and sunflower will decrease, but this reduction is offset by an increase in the areas dedicated to soybeans and legumes. ...
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