Mexico's sugar production is expected to fall by 15% to 4.7 million metric tons in the 2023/24 season, the lowest in a decade, due to insufficient rainfall affecting sugarcane crop development, says Czarnikow. This will likely lead to Mexico importing sugar, mainly from Central American producers like Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador, to fulfill its export quota to the U.S. This comes as India, which accounted for over 50% of Mexico's sugar imports last season, is unlikely to export this year due to limited local production.