Prospects for French pork production in 2023

Published 2023년 3월 6일

Tridge summary

The French pig herd is projected to continue declining in 2023, leading to a decrease in production, as reported by FranceAgriMer. High feed costs, especially in the first quarter of 2023, could impact the sustainability of less profitable farms. The reduction in production could also influence the slaughter/cutting sector, potentially leading to restructuring. The spread of African Swine Fever (ASF) in Europe, especially near France, is a concern. However, an agreement between France and China on zoning and compartmentalization could allow pork products from France's PSA-free zones to be exported to China, mitigating the impact of ASF on French pork exports.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

In 2023, it is expected that the French pig herd will continue its progressive decline. Given this trend, and despite productivity gains, a decline in French production seems very likely, according to the FranceAgriMer report "Dairy, meat and poultry markets, Balance 2022, Prospects 2023". France's export capacities appear to be limited, especially as production tends to decline. Domestic consumption is traditionally seen as the natural outlet for French production and exports are often only considered for surpluses. Even under favorable conditions, exported quantities thus tend to "peak", as we saw in 2020-2021. *Forecasts. Source: FranceAgriMer. Taking into account the forecast prices of cereals and soybean meal, it is likely that pig feed costs will remain high, at least in the first quarter of 2023. Therefore, the issue of sustainability of less profitable farms is likely to become increasingly important. Furthermore, it is very likely that the drop in production will have an ...
Source: 3tres3

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