US: Rice planting begins, acres expected to decline

Published 2021년 3월 12일

Tridge summary

The cash market for rice is experiencing a decline in prices due to a lack of bids or demand, with Arkansas seeing a drop of $0.50 per cwt this week. Despite this, the Texas paddy market remains steady. The rice industry is preparing for planting, while also monitoring various factors that could impact prices, such as the Mercosur harvest, quality issues, and demand from Mexico and Central America. The total export demand for long-grain rice is down by over 11% year to date, and it is expected that the USDA will raise their ending stocks forecast for the 2020/21 marketing year in their next report. Asian exporters are expected to face less competition from South American and US origins, as rice loses out to other crops due to drought conditions and as growers opt to plant beans and corn to meet demand in China.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The cash market continued to erode as prices in Arkansas moved $0.50 per cwt lower this week. The story was similar in other states where lack of bids or demand led to prices softening. Texas paddy held steady, but mainly because that market operates based on its own fundamentals, which at this point imply moderate demand and scarce supplies moving into planting. As reported last week, higher prices are required in the immediate future to bolster long-grain acres, and that doesn’t appear to be happening. As a result, we still expect to see substantial rice acres move into beans and corn this spring. This is a market that has several factors indicating reasons for prices to move upward but also reasons to soften. Mercosur harvest, quality issues, demand from Mexico, Central America, Venezuela, etc will continue to be monitored. Rice farmers in South Louisiana and Texas are in the field as new crop planting is underway this week while farther north in the delta fields are in full ...
Source: Agfax

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