Summer harvest and interest rates shape the corn scenario in Brazil

Published Dec 16, 2025

Tridge summary

The market's attention has come to focus on the development of the first corn crop in Southern Brazil. According to the analysis released by Grão Direto this Monday (15), the crops in Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina are in phases considered sensitive, unlike the soybean.

Original content

Market attention has turned to the development of the first corn crop in southern Brazil. According to the analysis released by Grão Direto this Monday (15), the crops in Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina are in sensitive phases, unlike soybeans. "The forecasts of heat and below-average rainfall for the week set off an alert," points out the specialist, highlighting that eventual problems in the summer crop may pressure regional supply and support prices in the short term, including on B3. Another closely monitored factor is the pace of exports. According to the analysis, keeping the dollar above R$ 5.40 maintains the shipping window attractive. "If the data from Anec and Secex confirm robust volumes, it will help to dry up domestic supply before the start of the second corn crop," evaluates Grão Direto, stressing that this movement can create a barrier against further price drops in the domestic market. The planning of the 2026 second corn crop also begins to influence ...
Source: Agrolink

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