Supply from many major producing countries is forecast to decrease, causing pepper prices to fluctuate significantly again.

Source: trangtraiviet.danviet.vn According to the Vietnam Pepper and Spice Association, domestic production may decrease by 5 - 7% due to the impact of weather in the final months of 2025. Some regions appear unaffected but are actually severely damaged, with the plants unable to recover. If new investments are made, it will take many more years before they can be harvested again. The Agricultural, Forestry, and Fisheries Market News from the Import and Export Agency cites data from the Vietnam Customs Department, stating that pepper supply in Brazil, Indonesia, India, and Vietnam is forecast to decrease in the 2025-2026 crop year. In Vietnam, the country with the largest pepper export volume in the world, the amount of pepper affected by adverse weather in the final months of 2025 is very large, according to the Vietnam Pepper and Spice Association. The VPSA also predicts that production could decrease even more than the forecasted 7%, if the weather situation worsens. A report ...