The EU warns of the danger that the reduction in fat consumption and China's self-sufficiency in both meat and dairy can pose to the agricultural sector

Published Dec 11, 2021

Tridge summary

The European Commission's agricultural outlook report for 2021-31 forecasts a decrease in the production of butter, cheese, and pork in the EU by 2031 due to reduced fat consumption aligning with WHO guidelines. This scenario also anticipates a drop in daily per capita calorie supply and a shift towards carbohydrates and protein. Additionally, the report explores the potential effects of China achieving self-sufficiency in meat and dairy products by 2031, which could significantly reduce EU export demand, leading to lower prices for EU pork and whey powder. The report also expects the EU to become a net exporter of sunflower oil under the first scenario, indicating potential improvements in trade balances.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Brussels expects, between now and 2031, that the production of butter, cheese and pork in the EU will decrease, in the scenario in which the total fat consumption in the EU falls to the level recommended by the World Health Organization ( WHO). Exports will make up for part of the lost EU consumption. In addition, in a scenario in which China reaches self-sufficiency in meat and dairy products, the EU's pork is the most affected, leading to a drop in production and prices. Lower domestic prices lead to increased consumption. These are some of the projections in the two scenarios included in the European Union's agricultural outlook report for 2021-31 published on December 9, 2021 by the European Commission. The first scenario contemplates a gradual reduction to the level recommended by the WHO of total fat consumption of 30% at EU level. This change is projected to lead to a decrease in the daily per capita calorie supply by 304 kcal in 2031. Carbohydrates and protein decrease by ...
Source: Castilla

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