Vietnamese coconut industry has seen significant growth with an export value of $243 million in 2023, reaching 90 countries and regions. China emerges as a potential market due to its high consumption and low production, with Vietnam's proximity and lower costs being advantages. The 2016-2022 Agreement has the potential to generate $300 million in revenue. However, this could challenge Thailand's coconut water industry, as Vietnam starts exporting coconut water to China, especially with Thailand facing hot and dry weather reducing production and increasing coconut prices. The quality of Thai coconut water is crucial to maintaining its market position against Vietnamese competition.