Brazil: Rio Grande do Sul will have a considerable wheat area reduction after crop failure and with uncertainty about expensive and inefficient insurance

Published Mar 5, 2024

Tridge summary

Brazil's wheat harvest for 2024 is projected to be less optimistic due to significant losses in productivity, grain quality, and aggressive price pressure from the 2023 harvest. The National Supply Company (Conab) predicts a production of 10.2 million tons, up from 8,096.8 million tons in 2023. However, farmers are facing capitalization issues and are not buying inputs at a normal rate, suggesting potential decreases in area and investments. High insurance costs and low coverage are also major concerns. Despite these challenges, the Cerrado region, including Minas Gerais, Goiás, Distrito Federal and parts of São Paulo, has recorded good results and prices, potentially leading to the maintenance or recovery of farming areas.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Brazil's new wheat harvest is expected to begin in the coming months with much less stimulus and optimism among producers than the last two. The 2023 harvest began with prospects of breaking records, good positioning of Brazilian cereal in the global market showcase, however, expectations were frustrated and the season ended with serious losses in productivity, grain quality and aggressive pressure on prices . In this scenario, the wheat farmer closed the cycle with capitalization problems, with less quality product and, consequently, with less competitiveness in general. The 2023 Brazilian wheat harvest, according to the latest figures from Conab (National Supply Company), was 8,096.8 million tons. For 2024, the agency's first projections indicate production of 10.2 million tons. "With the harvest of the 2023 harvest over, Conab is now monitoring the 2024 harvest, which will gain strength in mid-April in Paraná and, in May, in Rio Grande do Sul, states that represent 82.7% of the ...

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