Ukrainian farmers have contracted to export 120,000 tons of barley to China, making up 30-40% of the country's grain exports in July. However, analysts predict that July will be a weak month for exports and prices may not rise due to increased supply from the harvest. Currently, conventional barley prices in Ukrainian seaports are $154-157 per ton, but Chinese quality barley, certified for sale to China, is valued at $162 per ton. There is concern that the premium for barley certification for trade with China may disappear if Chinese buyers do not return to the market in the fall.