Cairo announced the refusal of grain from the occupied territories and interest in increasing imports from Ukraine. For farmers, this is not just diplomacy—it is a real change in the wheat market that is already taking place.
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Cairo has announced its refusal of grain from occupied territories and interest in increasing imports from Ukraine. For farmers, this is not just diplomacy—it is a real change in the wheat market that is already taking place. To understand the scale of the event, numbers are needed. Egypt is the largest importer of wheat in the world. In the 2025/26 marketing year, the USDA forecasts purchases at 13 million tons. For comparison: Ukraine's entire export potential this season is 16.7 million tons of wheat. That is, Egypt alone can absorb almost the entire annual export of the country. In February 2026, the structure of Egypt's imports looked like this: Russia—57.5% or 797 thousand tons, Romania—13.6%, Ukraine—only 13.5% or 186 thousand tons. These nearly 800 thousand tons of Russian grain per month are now in question. The agreement of the two presidents on April 3 is not a sudden turn. The trend of increasing Egyptian purchases from Ukraine began back in the summer of 2025. In ...