The current deal allowing Ukraine to export grain across the Black Sea is set to expire on July 17, and there are concerns that it may collapse as Russia sees no reason for an extension. Ukraine's grain exports have been crucial in balancing global food prices during the war, with grain from Ukraine also playing a direct role in aid programs. While the situation is better than during the initial outbreak of war, if the deal runs out, prices for staple foods could rise, although increased grain supplies from other producers such as Russia and Brazil may help mitigate the impact.