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In W17 in the mango landscape, some of the most relevant trends included:

  • Mango production faces significant challenges across key producing regions such as Mexico and Bangladesh due to unfavorable weather conditions, pest infestations, and disease outbreaks. India, particularly in Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh, is experiencing declines in yield, while Mexico's Sinaloa region is suffering from drought and cold weather, resulting in reduced harvests and lower fruit quality.
  • Despite these challenges, favorable weather in Bangladesh and Peru has led to strong harvests and higher-than-usual mango volumes. Bangladesh is expecting a record-breaking harvest, while Peru is ending its campaign optimistically, showing a strong outlook for the industry.
  • In Mexico, Manila mango prices surged due to a smaller harvest.  Meanwhile, local agricultural authorities expect the ongoing drought in Sinaloa to reduce production by up to 30%.
  • Illegal pesticide use in Peru is a growing concern, particularly affecting small and medium-sized farmers, and has led to rejections of exports to major markets like the US and the EU. This threatened the mango and other agricultural export industries, emphasizing the need for stronger regulation and farmer education.

1. Weekly News

Bangladesh

Khulna’s Mango Harvest Expected to Break Records Due to Favorable Conditions

Khulna, an emerging mango-producing region in Bangladesh, is expected to achieve a record-breaking harvest this season, with an expected yield valued at USD 70.83 million (BDT 8.63 billion). The Department of Agricultural Extension projects the production of 107.9 thousand metric tons (mt) of mangoes across 7.8 thousand hectares (ha), with districts like Satkhira contributing 63 thousand mt. Favorable weather conditions have positively impacted the crop, though misty conditions have raised concerns about fungal infections, leading to precautionary measures. Varieties such as 'Himsagar,' 'Gobindovog,' and 'Amrupali' are in high demand locally and internationally, with plans to export 120 mt to Europe. Retail prices are expected to range between USD 0.58 and 0.66 per kilogram (BDT 70 and 80/kg), and farmers are optimistic about a profitable season, driven by favorable weather and strong market demand.

India

Challenges in Karnataka's Mango Season Due to Weather and Disease Issues

The mango season in Karnataka has begun with early varieties like Sindhura, Badami, and Kapuri reaching local markets, but the 2025 harvest is expected to fall below average due to unpredictable flowering, high temperatures, and disease outbreaks. While fruit quality remains high, total yields are forecasted to reach only 800 thousand mt to 1 million metric tons (mmt), well below the usual 1.2 to 1.5 mmt. Mango production in the state is concentrated in southern districts such as Kolar, Ramanagara, and Chikkaballapur, with Kolar accounting for nearly two-thirds of the output. This year, Kolar’s mangoes are delayed due to late flowering and are impacted by a thrips disease outbreak. Despite these challenges, officials are confident that local production will meet the domestic demand, eliminating the need for imports. To support farmers, the Karnataka State Mango Development and Marketing Corporation (KSMDMCL) has introduced initiatives like the Mango Post service and online sales through the Karsiri portal, helping farmers sell directly to consumers and reduce post-harvest losses.

Mango Production Declines in North Coastal Andhra Pradesh, India

Mango production in north coastal Andhra Pradesh, India, particularly in the districts of Anakapalle, Vizianagaram, Parvathipuram, Manyam, and Srikakulam, has been severely impacted this season due to pest infestations and unfavorable weather conditions, resulting in a 50% reduction in mango yields. In Vizianagaram and Manyam, mango cultivation spans over 35 thousand ha, with popular varieties like Banganapalle, Suvarnarekha, and Panukulu in high demand domestically and internationally. Banganapalle, known for its table-quality fruit, is especially sought after. However, recent storms and pest damage have drastically reduced yields, with estimates of only 2 to 3 mt/ha, compared to the usual 7 mt. This production decline raises concerns over financial losses and potential market price fluctuations, with current prices for Banganapalle and Rasalu varieties at USD 9.60 and USD 7.20 per dozen, respectively.

Mexico

Manila Mango Prices Surge in Mexico Due to Poor Harvest

In Mexico, the price of Manila mangoes at the Hunucmá municipal market has surged from USD 4.10 to 7.18 per bucket (MXN 80 to 140 per bucket), surprising both sellers and buyers. This sharp increase is due to a significantly smaller harvest this season than in previous years. Hunucmá, traditionally known for producing high-quality, large-volume mangoes until May, has seen a notable decline in production. The Manila mango, known for its sweetness and stringy flesh, remains highly sought after, along with the Imperial variety, known for its reddish skin and sweet-sour flavor. The reduced harvest has disrupted market conditions, tightening supply and increasing prices.

Severe Drought and Cold Weather Threaten Mango Production in Southern Sinaloa, Mexico

Mango growers in southern Sinaloa, Mexico, are facing a challenging season, with anticipated losses of up to 30% compared to last year’s harvest. The ongoing drought conditions and unfavorable cold weather have severely affected mango tree development, resulting in lower yields and diminished fruit quality. The situation has been further heightened by delayed water deliveries from the Santa María Dam, restricting irrigation in regions like Escuinapa. While growers hope the smaller harvest will drive up mango prices nationwide, competition from other producing states such as Michoacán and Chiapas may influence the market. Overall, the mango industry in southern Sinaloa is under significant strain and facing production challenges.

Peru

Peruvian Mango Campaign Ends with Strong Volumes and Positive Outlook

The Peruvian mango campaign is ending in W19, marking the end of a successful campaign with significantly higher volumes than last year. In contrast to 2024, which was heavily impacted by El Niño and severe weather conditions, this year has seen more favorable weather, ensuring better product availability. The season followed its usual pattern, starting in the northern regions like Piura and Tambogrande before moving south to Casma. As the Peruvian season ends, Mexico is expected to increase its production, particularly of the Kent variety. Meanwhile, Brazil is preparing to supply high-quality mangoes, with strong volume expectations. Despite ongoing climate challenges, the outlook for the mango industry remains positive, with steady demand and ample product availability in the market.

Peru Faces Threat from Illegal Pesticides Impacting Mango and Other Exports

Using illegal and contaminated pesticides in Peru impacts small and medium-sized farmers, creating significant health risks and threatening food production. These unauthorized products–including PMF-120, a pesticide widely used to combat fruit flies–often enter the country through illegal channels or with false registrations. This pesticide was withdrawn from the market by the National Agrarian Health Service (SENASA) after discovering registration irregularities. The fruit fly is a major pest for export crops like mangoes, citrus fruits, and avocados, leading to rejections of Peruvian shipments in markets such as the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) due to health concerns. The Sustainable Agro-Industry Committee has called for stronger oversight and farmer training to prevent illegal pesticides, highlighting the significant economic losses caused by this issue in 2023. The committee stresses the importance of a collaborative effort between the government and agricultural producers to protect the industry.

2. Weekly Pricing

Weekly Mango Pricing Important Exporters (USD/kg)

* All pricing is wholesale * Varieties: Mexico (Manila), Peru (Kent), Brazil (Tommy Atkins), and India (overall average)

Yearly Change in Mango Pricing Important Exporters (W17 2024 to W17 2025) 

* All pricing is wholesale * Varieties: Mexico (Manila), Peru (Kent), Brazil (Tommy Atkins), and India (overall average) * Blank spaces on the graph signify data unavailability stemming from factors like supply unavailability, missing data or seasonality

Mexico

In Mexico, mango prices increased by 3.75% week-on-week (WoW) to USD 0.83/kg in W17 due to a notably reduced harvest. The decline was particularly evident in the Manila variety in regions like Hunucmá, where severe drought and unfavorable cold weather sharply limited production and tightened market supply. However, YoY prices dropped significantly by 42.76% due to an overall softer market compared to the previous year, with higher national stocks supported by production from other states such as Michoacán and Chiapas, partially offsetting regional shortfalls and preventing a steeper nationwide price escalation.

Peru

In W17, Peru's mango prices dropped by 4.44% WoW to USD 0.43/kg, with a 23.21% month-on-month (MoM) decline and a 62.93% YoY fall due to the gradual conclusion of the Peruvian mango season, which concluded with significantly higher production volumes than last year. The Peruvian mango season typically begins in October and concludes around April, with peak harvesting occurring between December and March. The favorable weather during the 2025 campaign, following the challenges of the previous El Niño-affected season, led to an abundant supply in the market, putting downward pressure on prices. As the Peruvian season ended, competition from increasing Mexican production, particularly of the Kent variety, and preparations for Brazilian mango exports further weighed on market prices.

Brazil

Brazil's mango prices increased by 8.05% WoW to USD 0.94/kg in W17, with an 11.90% MoM rise and no YoY change. This price increase is due to adverse weather conditions, including increased rainfall and high temperatures associated with the La Niña phenomenon, which have affected floral induction in mango orchards, particularly in the semiarid regions, leading to a restricted supply of mangoes. Simultaneously, there has been a surge in export demand from key markets such as Europe and North America, driven by Brazil's reputation for high-quality tropical fruits and efficient logistics. These factors have collectively contributed to the upward pressure on mango prices during this period. ​

India

Mango prices in India dropped by 3.03% WoW to USD 0.32/kg in W17, reflecting a 27.27% MoM decline due to increased market arrivals from early-season varieties like Sindhura, Badami, and Kapuri in Karnataka, and delayed harvests in key producing regions like Kolar, which created a temporary oversupply situation. However, prices increased by 6.67% YoY due to a significant overall production decline in major growing areas such as Karnataka and north coastal Andhra Pradesh, where high temperatures, unpredictable flowering, pest infestations, and disease outbreaks severely reduced yields, tightening supply compared to last year.

3. Actionable Recommendations

Improve Irrigation and Water Management to Minimize Mango Losses

Mango growers in southern Sinaloa should prioritize optimizing water management and irrigation techniques to mitigate the impact of drought and water delivery delays. Investing in efficient irrigation systems like drip irrigation and exploring alternative water sources will help ensure a consistent water supply to support mango tree development. Collaborating with local agricultural organizations to implement water-saving practices and improve access to irrigation will increase resilience against unpredictable weather conditions, helping stabilize yields and reduce losses in future seasons.

Ensure Compliance with Pesticide Regulations to Safeguard Exports

Peruvian farmers, particularly small and medium-sized producers, should prioritize using legally approved pesticides to avoid the risks associated with illegal and contaminated products. Farmers must seek training on proper pesticide use and alternatives to combat pests like fruit flies, which impact crops such as mangoes and avocados. Collaborating with suppliers to verify pesticide registrations and ensuring compliance with SENASA’s guidelines will prevent crop rejections in export markets like the US and EU. This proactive approach will protect both farmer health and the reputation of Peruvian agricultural exports.

Sources: Tridge, Bssnews, Freshlaza, Inforegion, Krishakjagat, Noticiaspiura30, Poresto, Punto, The Indian Express, Times of India

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