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In W18 in the mango landscape, some of the most relevant trends included:

  • Bangladesh, India, and the Philippines are expanding mango cultivation and investing in modernization programs, improved agronomic practices, and training to boost yields and long-term industry resilience.
  • India, Mexico, and Senegal are facing significant climate-related challenges, including rising temperatures, unseasonal rains, and prolonged droughts, which are affecting mango quality, harvest timing, and overall production levels.
  • Bangladesh and the Philippines are targeting new international markets and enhancing post-harvest infrastructure to improve export competitiveness and diversify trade opportunities.
  • India and the Philippines are addressing farmer-level concerns such as income instability, middlemen exploitation, and crop insurance by advocating for better policy support, direct marketing platforms, and price protection mechanisms.

1. Weekly News

Bangladesh

Bangladesh Expands Mango Cultivation and Targets Chinese Export Market

Bangladesh is expanding mango cultivation to 205 thousand hectares (ha) with a production target of 2.7 million metric tons (mmt) for the current season. The country aims to export around 5 thousand metric tons (mt), including a new push into the Chinese market following a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) in 2023. With registration from the General Administration of Customs of the People's Republic of China (GACC) secured in Jul-23 and evaluations still in progress, exports could begin as early as Jun-25. Despite a slight decline in production from 2.7 mmt in 2023 to 2.5 mmt in 2024, Bangladesh remains the world’s seventh-largest mango producer. Export volumes have fluctuated over the years, rising from 309 mt in 2017 to 3.1 thousand mt in 2023 before falling to 1.3 thousand mt in 2024. Key growing regions include Rajshahi, Naogaon, Satkhira, and Chapainawabganj, where this year’s harvest began on May 5, 2025, with the Gopalbhogh variety.

India

India’s Mango Production Faces Shifts Due to Rising Temperatures

In India, rising temperatures and increasing climate variability affect mango production, raising concerns about fruit quality, harvest timing, and long-term sustainability. The India Meteorological Department identified 2024 as the warmest year since 1901, with temperatures 0.65 degrees Celsius (°C) above average. This has contributed to reduced sweetness, early flowering, shorter shelf life, and disorders like spongy tissue in Alphonso mangoes. While anecdotal reports suggest declining quality, data for 2024/25 indicates that mango productivity is expected to rise to 9.4 mt/ha, up from an average of 7.9 mt/ha, placing India ahead of China and Thailand. Cultivation area also expanded by 2.34% in 2023/24, with total production reaching 22.42 mmt. Despite challenges like fruit drop and early ripening caused by heat stress, India’s wide range of mango varieties continues to demonstrate resilience, supported by ongoing scientific research into their adaptability under changing climatic conditions.

Karnataka Mango Farmers Struggle with Unpredictable Weather, Financial Strain, and Middlemen Challenges

Mango farmers in Karnataka, India, face unpredictable weather conditions, including intense winter heat and unseasonal rains, which have damaged crops despite a better yield than last year. Small-scale growers heavily dependent on mangoes for their livelihoods are facing financial strain and are increasingly turning to alternative crops like tomatoes and beans, though not all can afford the investment needed for such a shift. Adding to their difficulties, many farmers report being underpaid by middlemen at local mandis, leading some to switch to Totapuri mangoes for more stable returns through direct sales to juice factories. To address these challenges, growers are urging government support through minimum price guarantees, improved crop insurance, and access to direct-sale platforms to ensure greater income stability and resilience.

Mexico

Severe Drought Reduces Mango Production in Sinaloa, Mexico

The 2025 mango season in Sinaloa is facing a significant downturn due to extreme drought and erratic weather. Production is projected to drop by 50% to just 100 thousand tons, down from the usual 200 thousand. The hardest-hit area is Escuinapa, where only 900 out of 13 thousand ha are irrigated, leaving most of the region’s mango farms vulnerable. A 20% decline in rainfall in 2024 has further worsened water scarcity, leading to poor fruit development and increased susceptibility to diseases like anthracnose. Although emergency irrigation from the Santa María dam is helping some areas, thousands of rainfed hectares remain at risk, threatening fruit quality and export prospects. While reduced supply may drive prices up, local producers caution that the broader economic impact on Escuinapa, where many livelihoods depend on mango farming, could be severe.

Philippines

Zambales Pushes Mango Industry Revival Through Modernization Program

In the Philippines, the provincial government of Zambales is ramping up efforts to revitalize its mango industry through the Zambales Mango Green Valley Project. This is a four-year initiative running from 2025 to 2028 with a budget of USD 899.6 thousand (PHP 50 million). The program aims to boost mango yields from 2.3 tons/ha, well below the national average of 12 tons, by adopting modern agricultural practices. Phase 1 of the project focused on baseline assessments, stakeholder consultations, and the identification of pilot areas to guide targeted interventions. Phase 2, currently in progress, focuses on rehabilitating 20.8 thousand carabao mango trees using improved farm management, fertilization, and irrigation techniques, while also providing training and capacity-building in collaboration with academic institutions and growers’ groups. Pilot farms have received financial support to implement advanced methods such as flower induction and fruit bagging. In Phase 3, the focus will shift to propagating the Sweet Elena mango variety and developing a mango training center and post-harvest facility. These efforts are part of a broader strategy to enhance Zambales’ mango industry's long-term viability and global competitiveness.

Senegal

Senegal's Mango Season Faces Climatic Challenges with Expectations of a Recovery

Senegal is again facing uncertainty due to three consecutive years of reduced mango yields as the 2025 season approaches. The southern region, including areas like Sédhiou and Djibanar, which typically leads the harvest, experienced delayed flowering in 2024 due to erratic weather. This resulted in a late start and commercial setbacks as Senegalese exporters faced stiff competition from Egypt and Latin America. Ongoing challenges, such as uneven fruit maturation caused by fluctuating temperatures and delayed government support for fruit fly control, continue to impact growers. Despite these difficulties, there are expectations for record mango production and improved fruit quality in 2025. The Niaye region, which contributes around 70% of the national output, is expected to begin harvesting in June. The early-season harvest typically accounts for a quarter of the annual yield.

2. Weekly Pricing

Weekly Mango Pricing Important Exporters (USD/kg)

* All pricing is wholesale * Varieties: Mexico (Manila), Peru (Kent), Brazil (Tommy Atkins), and India (overall average)

Yearly Change in Mango Pricing Important Exporters (W18 2024 to W18 2025) 

* All pricing is wholesale * Varieties: Mexico (Manila), Peru (Kent), Brazil (Tommy Atkins), and India (overall average) * Blank spaces on the graph signify data unavailability stemming from factors like supply unavailability, missing data or seasonality

Mexico

In W18, mango prices in Mexico surged by 14.46% week-on-week (WoW) to USD 0.95 per kilogram (kg), with a 21.79% month-on-month (MoM) increase, due to a significant production decline in key growing regions like Sinaloa. Extreme drought conditions and unpredictable weather patterns have severely impacted flowering and fruit development, leading to an estimated 50% reduction in output. Additionally, the onset of anthracnose, a fungal disease exacerbated by recent rains and high humidity, has further diminished the harvestable crop, tightening supply and driving prices upward. However, prices have decreased by 34.48% year-on-year (YoY), reflecting a correction from the elevated levels of the previous year when market disruptions and supply chain challenges led to unusually high prices.

Peru

Peru's mango prices dropped by 2.33% WoW to USD 0.42/kg in W18, reflecting a 19.23% MoM decrease and a significant 65.29% YoY decline. The price decline is primarily due to a compressed harvest window caused by water scarcity, which led to earlier-than-usual fruit maturation and a concentrated harvesting period. This shift resulted in a sudden influx of supply over a short time frame rather than a gradual market flow. The overlap of Peru’s harvest with peak production in Brazil and Ecuador further saturated key export markets, intensifying competition and putting downward pressure on prices. Additionally, logistical challenges, including container shortages and increased freight costs due to competition with other Peruvian exports like blueberries and grapes, have hindered the timely export of mangoes, exacerbating the oversupply in domestic markets. These factors combined have created a challenging environment for Peruvian mango producers, leading to significant price declines.

Brazil

Mango prices in Brazil increased by 8.51% WoW to USD 1.02/kg in W18, with a 15.91% MoM rise, driven by the limited supply of the Tommy Atkins variety in key producing regions such as the São Francisco Valley. This scarcity, combined with strong international demand and a favorable exchange rate, intensified competition between domestic and export markets, pushing prices upward. However, prices were still 8.11% lower YoY, as last year saw tighter supply and stronger export flows, particularly to the US. In contrast, the current season has faced logistical challenges, including port strikes, which have hindered exports and led to relatively higher availability in the local market, exerting downward pressure on prices compared to last year.

India

In India, mango prices in W18 remained steady WoW at USD 0.32/kg, reflecting an 11.11% MoM decrease due to increased supply from early harvests prompted by unseasonal weather patterns. The early flowering and fruiting, driven by higher-than-normal temperatures and erratic rainfall, led to a surge in market arrivals, exerting downward pressure on prices. However, prices still recorded a 6.67% YoY increase, primarily because of a significant reduction in overall production caused by adverse climatic conditions. Key mango-producing regions, including Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, and Odisha, experienced substantial yield declines, up to 40% in some areas, due to factors like extended monsoons, warm winters, and heatwaves, which disrupted the flowering and fruit setting stages. This supply shortage, rising input costs, and logistical challenges have sustained higher prices than the previous year.

3. Actionable Recommendations

Strengthen Irrigation Efficiency and Disease Control in Mango Orchards

Mango producers facing drought and erratic weather should invest in efficient irrigation systems like drip or micro-sprinklers to optimize water use and reduce crop stress. At the same time, growers should implement routine monitoring and timely fungicide applications to control diseases such as anthracnose, especially in vulnerable regions. For example, producers in Escuinapa, Sinaloa, can use mulch to retain soil moisture, while farmers in dry zones of India or West Africa can adopt solar-powered drip systems and schedule disease treatments based on early warning signs. These practices help maintain fruit quality and reduce losses under increasingly unpredictable climate conditions.

Strengthen Export Readiness for China Market Entry

Bangladeshi mango exporters should focus on meeting China’s strict phytosanitary and traceability requirements to ensure a smooth market entry. Exporters must work closely with packhouses and growers in key regions like Rajshahi and Chapainawabganj to standardize post-harvest handling, implement hot water treatment, and ensure consistent labeling and documentation. Preparing batches of premium varieties such as Gopalbhogh and Khirsapat under certified conditions will boost acceptance and help build a reliable export channel to China starting Jun-25.

Sources: Tridge, Freshplaza, Oem, New Indian Express, The Business Standard, The Hindu, Tribune

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