Overall global production for sunflower seeds in 2019/2020 decreased, especially in Bulgaria and Canada, while producers in Ukraine and Russia saw a considerable increase in production. Prices were high for early 2020.
Bulgaria and Ukraine are two of the largest producers of sunflower seeds while Canada is a rising star with production more than doubling in the last decade to meet market demand.
Bulgarian prices are high due to shortages and increasing global demand
In Bulgaria, prices rose since November 2019 due to increases in foreign demand and lower availability this season. This was fueled by oil manufacturers purchasing products ahead and causing an even greater shortage, and wholesale prices rose around 26% at BGN 700 per metric Ton (USD 390.9) from BGN 580-610 (USD 323.9-340.7).
Demand for Bulgarian confectionery sunflower seeds has risen over recent years due to its Omega-3 health benefits. Sunflower seed production, on the other hand, decreased by almost 11% compared to the previous season as production sites went through a drought and an increasing number of farmers switched to other agricultural crops such as chickpeas and corn.
Bulgarian sunflower oil production was directly impacted and exports decreased by 29% in January of 2020 compared to the same period in 2019. In order to overcome the shortage, Bulgarian importers contracted volumes from Ukraine, but low water levels on the Danube River prevented supplies from being imported to their full volume.
Canadian prices rising due to lower harvest expectations
Prices for Canadian sunflower seeds also rose in anticipation of continuous harsh weather conditions during the spring harvest period after the country suffered from unfavorable rain and snow during winter. The main producing province of Manitoba was also affected, and some regions experienced a record-breaking one-day snowfall of 76.2 CM which delayed machine harvesting and considerably lower yield.
With 25-30% of the 2019/2020 crops left to be harvested in spring, prices moved up from approximately CAD 0.25 to 0.27 (USD 0.19 to 0.21) per pound. The shortage made buyers source from other countries in the Black Sea that saw a good harvest for 2019/2020.
Ukraine Experiences Bumper Harvest in 2019/2020 Amid Worldwide Shortage
Ukraine, on the other hand, saw timely rainfall for 2019/2020 in the middle of summer that brought optimal moisture levels in the soil which allowed production to flourish. This positively impacted Ukrainian sunflower seed exports in early 2020, especially of the oilseed variety.
Sunflower oil exports for Ukraine during 2019/2020 are thought to be at 6.2 Million metric Tons, up by 1.4 Million in 2018/2019. Demand for Ukrainian oilseed sunflower seeds is expected to grow even further as it is predicted that China and India will increase their imports for 2020 amid a worldwide shortage. China and India are sunflower oil purchasing giants that take up 40% of worldwide imports.
Exporters, however, are hesitant to increase seed exports to North American markets as there is a 10% export duty, even though buyers in these markets are willing to pay a premium for higher quality sunflower seeds. Nevertheless, Black Sea producers continue to have a competitive geographic advantage over suppliers from Canada or the U.S., as they are able to provide lower CIF shipping costs to buyers in the Middle East and Asia.